The U.S. government is taking a 10% stake in USA Rare Earths (ticker: USAR) for $1.6 billion, and if you're thinking "that sounds expensive for a mining company I've never heard of," you're getting the point. This isn't about profits—it's about not being completely dependent on China for the materials that make modern technology work.
Rare earth elements are the kind of thing most people never think about until they learn that China controls roughly 90% of global processing capacity. These aren't actually rare in the geological sense—they're just expensive and environmentally messy to extract and refine. And right now, if Beijing wanted to cut off supply, they could crater entire industries overnight.
That's the kind of vulnerability that makes governments nervous, which is why this deal is happening. The $1.6 billion investment comes from the Defense Production Act, the same legal authority used during COVID to ramp up ventilator production. Rare earths go into everything from fighter jets to smartphones to wind turbines, and the Pentagon doesn't like being one diplomatic spat away from a supply chain disaster.
What this means for investors:
USAR stock has been volatile, which is typical for small-cap mining companies that are still mostly potential rather than revenue. Government backing changes that equation—but not necessarily in the way retail investors hope. A 10% stake means dilution for existing shareholders, and government involvement can sometimes mean slower decision-making.
The bigger investment thesis here isn't USAR specifically—it's the entire rare earths supply chain. If the U.S. is serious about reshoring production (and this suggests they are), then companies involved in processing, refining, and manufacturing are all potential beneficiaries. Think specialty materials firms, defense contractors, and EV battery makers.
Keep in mind: building a rare earths supply chain from scratch takes years. This is a long-term geopolitical play, not a get-rich-quick scheme. Anyone buying USAR hoping for a quick pop is missing the point.
The China factor: Beijing didn't build their rare earths dominance by accident—they subsidized the industry, accepted environmental costs Western countries wouldn't, and played the long game. The U.S. trying to catch up is expensive and difficult. It's also probably necessary.
For anyone with exposure to tech, defense, or green energy, this is a reminder that supply chains matter. Globalization was cheap and efficient until it became a national security risk. Now we're watching the cost of de-risking play out in real time, and taxpayers are footing the bill.
One more thing: if the government is willing to pay $1.6 billion for a 10% stake, that implies a $16 billion valuation for a company that hasn't proven commercial-scale production yet. Make of that what you will.
