President Lai Ching-te's ambitious plan to boost Taiwan's defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2030 has hit a familiar obstacle: an opposition-controlled legislature wielding the power to block.
The two opposition parties controlling Taiwan's legislature—the Kuomintang (KMT) and the Taiwan People's Party—have blocked the president's special defense budget at least eight times since December 2. The proposal calls for approximately $40 billion (1.25 trillion new Taiwan dollars) over eight years, directed toward missile defenses, precision weapons, and unmanned systems.
The KMT, which favors closer ties with China, argues the president is asking for "a blanket authorization without any knowledge of the situation." The party demands detailed explanations of spending allocation and has expressed concerns about transparency in defense procurement processes.
The American Institute in Taiwan—the de facto U.S. embassy—has made its position clear. Director Raymond Greene emphasized that "President Lai Ching-te's commitment to increasing Taiwan's defense spending to 5% of GDP by 2030...is so critical." Taiwan currently spends under 2.4% of GDP on defense.
This legislative gridlock carries echoes of the early 2000s, when President Chen Shui-bian faced similar obstruction from the KMT over a U.S. arms purchase. The opposition delayed that plan for years, ultimately resulting in a scaled-down deal. But analysts note the current situation is more urgent given increased Chinese military pressure across the Taiwan Strait.
The timing is particularly sensitive. As Beijing continues to ramp up military exercises around the island and expand its naval capabilities, Taiwan's ability to modernize its defenses has become a critical question not just for Taipei, but for regional security architecture.
The KMT's position reflects the party's traditional stance on cross-Strait relations—seeking to avoid provocations while maintaining the status quo. But critics argue that demanding granular budget details for sensitive military procurement in a public legislative forum could compromise operational security.
For Washington, which has invested heavily in Taiwan's defensive capabilities through arms sales and military cooperation, the legislative deadlock represents a frustrating obstacle to what U.S. officials see as an essential component of deterrence.
The opposition parties hold 52 seats in the 113-member Legislative Yuan, giving them just enough power to block major initiatives. This narrow margin means that every vote on the defense budget becomes a test of political will and strategic priorities.
As the standoff continues, the question becomes whether Taiwan's domestic political dynamics will allow the island to prepare for the security challenges its leaders—and its main security partner—believe are coming.
Watch what they do, not what they say. In East Asian diplomacy, the subtext is the text.
