Nvidia's business exposure to Chinese customers may be far larger than officially disclosed, with billions of dollars in advanced AI chips continuing to reach Chinese end users through intermediary networks despite tightening US export controls, according to a new report from Culper Research.
The findings directly challenge statements by Jensen Huang, Nvidia's chief executive, who claimed the company's China compute operations went to "zero" following enhanced US export restrictions implemented in April 2025. The research suggests Chinese demand for Nvidia's graphics processing units persisted through complex procurement channels rather than disappearing.
According to Culper's analysis, mid-2025 analyst estimates indicated China represented 25-40% of Nvidia's chip sales. Former Nvidia employees cited in the report estimated that "20% to 40%" of the company's business remained "functionally Chinese" despite official restrictions. One former director-level employee stated bluntly: "China didn't go to zero; it just took a new shape."
Intermediary Networks Route Restricted Technology
The report identifies a network of intermediary companies facilitating GPU sales to Chinese buyers through Southeast Asian and other jurisdictions. Key players identified include Singapore-based cloud operator Megaspeed International and its Malaysian subsidiary Speedmatrix, California-based original equipment manufacturer partner Aivres Systems, and Singapore procurement company Apex Enterprise Solutions.
Trade data examined by Culper showed Aivres exported $4.2 billion in products from March through November 2025, with $1.3 billion shipped after April restrictions took effect. Nearly $4 billion of these shipments went to Speedmatrix, raising questions about ultimate end users and beneficial ownership.
The diversion methods range from straightforward geographic arbitrage to sophisticated remote access arrangements. The March 2026 Department of Justice indictment involving Supermicro Computer illustrated the scale of potential violations. Three individuals face charges of smuggling $2.5 billion in Nvidia chips into China between 2024 and 2025 through Southeast Asian intermediaries. Culper characterized this prosecution as merely


