Iran has declared its readiness for a protracted conflict with the United States and Israel, warning that such a war would "destroy the global economy," according to statements from senior Iranian officials reported by Le Monde.
The stark warning, delivered through state media and diplomatic channels, represents Tehran's most explicit threat to weaponize its strategic position astride global energy supply routes. Whether Iran possesses the capability to make good on such threats is now the central question facing Western intelligence agencies and economic policymakers.
Hossein Salami, commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, stated that Iran has "prepared for all scenarios" and possesses "tools that our enemies cannot imagine." While such rhetoric is characteristic of Iranian officials, recent actions suggest these are not empty words.
To understand today's headlines, we must look at yesterday's decisions. Iran has spent four decades developing what military analysts call "asymmetric warfare capabilities"—tools designed to offset the conventional military superiority of the United States and its regional allies. These include ballistic and cruise missiles, armed drones, naval mines, cyber warfare capabilities, and proxy forces across the Middle East.
Oil markets are already reflecting Iran's leverage. Brent crude has risen 34% since the conflict began three weeks ago, with prices now hovering near $127 per barrel. Shipping insurance rates for the have increased , and several major freight companies have suspended Gulf transits entirely.
