Prime Minister Mark Carney's Liberal government has opened a commanding 10-percentage point lead over the Conservatives, with government approval ratings climbing to their highest level since the former Bank of Canada governor took office, according to new polling data from Abacus Data.
The Liberals now stand at 39% support compared to 29% for the Conservatives, marking a dramatic reversal from the party's fortunes under predecessor Justin Trudeau. Government approval has climbed to 47%, with just 33% disapproving—figures that place Canada among the highest-rated governments in the G7.
In Canada, as Canadians would politely insist, we're more than just America's neighbor—we're a distinct nation with our own priorities. The polling surge suggests Canadians are responding to Carney's economic competence narrative and measured approach to continental tensions, rather than simply celebrating a change in leadership style.
The data reveals specific policy wins driving the momentum. Carney's handling of United States trade relations receives 52% approval, a striking figure given recent tariff threats and cross-border friction. His economic management scores even higher at 55%, building on his credibility from steering the Bank of Canada through previous crises.
"What we're seeing is more than a honeymoon period," said David Coletto, CEO of Abacus Data. "Canadians are responding to specific policy choices and a governance style that emphasizes economic stability and international relationships."
The regional breakdown shows the Liberals consolidating support across multiple provinces. In Ontario, the party leads by , while shows the Liberals competitive with the Bloc Québécois for the first time in years. Even in traditional Conservative strongholds in , Liberal support has ticked upward.
